Watford vs Charlton Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 6 Apr 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultWatford to win62% · @1.90

Double chanceWatford or draw86% · @1.22

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · @1.91

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–015% · fair 6.58

Watford vs Charlton preview and prediction

The match

Watford host Charlton in the Championship on Monday 6 April, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Vicarage Road. Watford are 20th with 15 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Charlton sit 19th on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Watford's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to QPR 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Charlton's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Bristol City 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Watford arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Watford and 0.7 for Charlton. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 49%.

Betting angles

Win chances: Watford 62%, draw 23%, Charlton 14%.
Safer route: Watford or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Watford to win at 1.90 – 62% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Watford or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Watford 1–0 Charlton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Watford62%fair 1.61 · @1.90

Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.40

Charlton14%fair 6.92 · @4.00

2.43Expected goals

1.73Watford xG

0.70Charlton xG

49%Both score

46%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–015%

2–013%

1–111%

2–19%

0–09%

3–08%

From our goals model: Watford 1.7 – 0.7 Charlton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Watford to win	62%	1.61	1.90 ▲
Double chance	Watford or draw	86%	1.17	1.22
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score	51%	1.94	1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	70%	1.42	1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals	54%	1.84	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	75%	1.33	1.28
Half-time result	Watford ahead at half-time	43%	2.30	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Watford / FT Watford	39%	2.57	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0	15%	6.58	–

Form

Watford – last 6

LWDWLW

3 Apr	@ QPR	1–2	L
17 Mar	vs Wrexham	3–1	W
10 Mar	@ Sheffield Wednesday	1–1	D
27 Feb	@ Bristol City	2–1	W
24 Feb	vs Ipswich	0–2	L
21 Feb	vs Derby	2–0	W

1.5Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Charlton – last 5

LWDDL

3 Apr	vs Bristol City	1–2	L
11 Mar	@ Middlesbrough	1–0	W
24 Feb	@ West Brom	1–1	D
21 Feb	@ Southampton	1–1	D
17 Feb	vs Portsmouth	1–3	L

1.0Scored / game

1.4Conceded / game

80%Both scored

40%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Birmingham	15	8	5	2	+14	29
2	Middlesbrough	15	8	5	2	+11	29
3	Stoke City	15	9	2	4	+6	29
4	Wolves	15	8	4	3	+8	28
5	West Brom	15	8	4	3	+8	28
6	Swansea	15	8	2	5	+4	26
7	Southampton	15	8	4	3	+14	24
8	QPR	15	6	6	3	+6	24
9	West Ham	15	6	5	4	+14	23
10	Sheffield Utd	15	6	4	5	+2	22
11	Portsmouth	15	6	4	5	+2	22
12	Norwich	15	7	0	8	+8	21
13	Blackburn	15	6	3	6	-1	21
14	Cardiff	15	4	6	5	0	18
15	Wrexham	15	4	6	5	-2	18
16	Millwall	15	5	3	7	-4	18
17	Bristol City	15	5	3	7	-8	18
18	Bolton	15	5	2	8	-9	17
19	Charlton	15	4	5	6	-10	17
20	Watford	15	4	3	8	-10	15
21	Lincoln	15	4	3	8	-11	15
22	Burnley	15	1	7	7	-9	10
23	Derby	15	2	4	9	-16	10
24	Preston	15	2	2	11	-17	8

Team

Pts

+14

+11

+14

+14

-1

-2

-4

-8

-9

-10

-10

-11

-9

-16

-17

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Watford vs Charlton?

Our pick is Watford or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Watford vs Charlton?

On our numbers Watford have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Charlton 14%.

How many goals will there be in Watford vs Charlton?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Watford vs Charlton?

Our predicted score is Watford 1–0 Charlton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Watford vs Charlton?

Watford vs Charlton (Championship) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Vicarage Road.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

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