The Championship sees Norwich take on Birmingham on Saturday 21 February, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Carrow Road. Norwich are 12th with 21 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Birmingham sit 1st on 29 points (top of the table).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Norwich and 1.3 for Birmingham. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 57%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Norwich 1–1 Birmingham. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Norwich41%fair 2.44 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.40
Birmingham35%fair 2.84 · @2.70
2.62Expected goals
1.37Norwich xG
1.25Birmingham xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Norwich 1.4 – 1.3 Birmingham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Norwich to win✗
41%
2.44
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.82
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.31
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Norwich / FT Norwich✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.04
–
Form
Norwich
No recent results on record.
Birmingham
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Norwich and Birmingham.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Norwich vs Birmingham?
On our numbers Norwich have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Birmingham 35%.
How many goals will there be in Norwich vs Birmingham?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Norwich vs Birmingham?
Our predicted score is Norwich 1–1 Birmingham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Norwich vs Birmingham?
Norwich vs Birmingham (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Carrow Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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