Charlton travel to St. Mary's Stadium in the Championship on Saturday 21 February (16:00 WAT) to face Southampton. Southampton are 7th with 24 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Charlton sit 19th on 17 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Southampton and 0.8 for Charlton. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 54%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Southampton 2–0 Charlton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Southampton66%fair 1.52 · @1.57
Draw19%fair 5.31 · @4.33
Charlton16%fair 6.44 · @5.25
2.67Expected goals
1.90Southampton xG
0.76Charlton xG
54%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Southampton 1.9 – 0.8 Charlton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Southampton to win✗
66%
1.52
1.57
Double chance
Southampton or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.35
Half-time result
Southampton ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Southampton / FT Southampton✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.56
–
Form
Southampton
No recent results on record.
Charlton – last 1
L
17 Feb
vs Portsmouth
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Southampton and Charlton.
What is the prediction for Southampton vs Charlton?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Southampton vs Charlton?
On our numbers Southampton have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Charlton 16%.
How many goals will there be in Southampton vs Charlton?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Southampton vs Charlton?
Our predicted score is Southampton 2–0 Charlton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Southampton vs Charlton?
Southampton vs Charlton (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at St. Mary's Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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