Value bet: Bristol City to win @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSwansea to win ✓44% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 9.46
Swansea vs Bristol City preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Swansea take on Bristol City on Saturday 21 February, kicking off at 13:30 (WAT) at Swansea.com Stadium. Swansea are 6th with 26 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Bristol City sit 17th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Swansea and 1.2 for Bristol City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Swansea 44%, draw 21%, Bristol City 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.78.
Value angle: Bristol City to win at 3.30 – 35% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Swansea 1–1 Bristol City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Swansea44%fair 2.27 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.50
Bristol City35%fair 2.85 · @3.30
2.57Expected goals
1.38Swansea xG
1.19Bristol City xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Swansea 1.4 – 1.2 Bristol City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Swansea to win✓
44%
2.27
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.78
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.78
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Swansea / FT Swansea✓
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
11%
9.46
–
Form
Swansea
No recent results on record.
Bristol City – last 1
D
17 Feb
vs Wrexham
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Swansea and Bristol City.
What is the prediction for Swansea vs Bristol City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Swansea vs Bristol City?
On our numbers Swansea have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bristol City 35%.
How many goals will there be in Swansea vs Bristol City?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Swansea vs Bristol City?
Our predicted score is Swansea 1–1 Bristol City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Swansea vs Bristol City?
Swansea vs Bristol City (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Swansea.com Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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