Value bet: Leicester to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultStoke City to win ✗38% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.69
Stoke City vs Leicester preview and prediction
The match
Stoke City host Leicester in the Championship on Saturday 21 February, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT) at Bet365 Stadium.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Stoke City and 1.2 for Leicester. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Stoke City 38%, draw 24%, Leicester 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.82.
Value angle: Leicester to win at 3.10 – 38% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.26. Predicted score: Stoke City 1–1 Leicester. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stoke City38%fair 2.60 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.40
Leicester38%fair 2.64 · @3.10
2.50Expected goals
1.26Stoke City xG
1.24Leicester xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Stoke City 1.3 – 1.2 Leicester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stoke City to win✗
38%
2.60
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.82
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.71
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.26
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stoke City / FT Stoke City✗
21%
4.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.69
–
Form
Stoke City – last 1
L
15 Feb
vs Fulham
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Leicester
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stoke City and Leicester.
What is the prediction for Stoke City vs Leicester?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Stoke City vs Leicester?
On our numbers Stoke City have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Leicester 38%.
How many goals will there be in Stoke City vs Leicester?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stoke City vs Leicester?
Our predicted score is Stoke City 1–1 Leicester, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Stoke City vs Leicester?
Stoke City vs Leicester (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Bet365 Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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