Value bet: Walsall to win @ 3.45 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSwindon Town to win ✓43% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.65
Swindon Town vs Walsall preview and prediction
The match
Walsall travel to County Ground in the League Two on Monday 6 April (15:00 WAT) to face Swindon Town. Swindon Town are 13th with 19 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Walsall sit 3rd on 22 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Swindon Town's last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with Cambridge United 1–1 away. They average 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Walsall's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Gillingham 2–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Swindon Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.6 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Swindon Town and 1.2 for Walsall. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Swindon Town 43%, draw 22%, Walsall 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Walsall to win at 3.45 – 35% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Swindon Town 1–1 Walsall. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Swindon Town43%fair 2.32 · @2.08
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.35
Walsall35%fair 2.85 · @3.45
2.54Expected goals
1.36Swindon Town xG
1.19Walsall xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Swindon Town 1.4 – 1.2 Walsall expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Swindon Town to win✓
43%
2.32
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Swindon Town / FT Swindon Town✗
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.65
–
Form
Swindon Town – last 5
DWDLW
2 Apr
@ Cambridge United
1–1
D
17 Mar
@ Gillingham
2–0
W
28 Feb
vs Bristol Rovers
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Crewe
1–2
L
17 Feb
@ Barnet
2–1
W
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Walsall – last 6
DDLLWL
3 Apr
vs Gillingham
2–2
D
17 Mar
vs Cambridge United
0–0
D
10 Mar
@ Salford City
0–1
L
3 Mar
vs Fleetwood Town
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Shrewsbury
2–1
W
23 Feb
vs Milton Keynes Dons
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Swindon Town and Walsall.
What is the prediction for Swindon Town vs Walsall?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Swindon Town vs Walsall?
On our numbers Swindon Town have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Walsall 35%.
How many goals will there be in Swindon Town vs Walsall?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Swindon Town vs Walsall?
Our predicted score is Swindon Town 1–1 Walsall, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Swindon Town vs Walsall?
Swindon Town vs Walsall (League Two) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at County Ground.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Barrow0
Cambridge United1
Harrogate Town2
Milton Keynes Dons1