Value bet: Crawley Town to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGrimsby to win ✓42% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.50
Crawley Town vs Grimsby preview and prediction
The match
The League Two sees Crawley Town take on Grimsby on Monday 6 April, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at The Broadfield Stadium. Crawley Town are 24th with 9 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Grimsby sit 6th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Crawley Town's last 5: WDDDD Most recently they beat Newport County 2–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Grimsby's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Harrogate Town 1–3 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Crawley Town and 1.4 for Grimsby. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Crawley Town 35%, draw 23%, Grimsby 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Crawley Town to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Crawley Town 1–1 Grimsby. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Crawley Town35%fair 2.88 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.45
Grimsby42%fair 2.35 · @2.20
2.64Expected goals
1.24Crawley Town xG
1.40Grimsby xG
62%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Crawley Town 1.2 – 1.4 Grimsby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grimsby to win✓
42%
2.35
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Grimsby / FT Grimsby✓
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.50
–
Form
Crawley Town – last 5
WDDDD
3 Apr
@ Newport County
2–0
W
17 Mar
vs Barnet
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Colchester
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Chesterfield
1–1
D
17 Feb
@ Milton Keynes Dons
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Grimsby – last 6
LWDWLD
3 Apr
vs Harrogate Town
1–3
L
17 Mar
vs Fleetwood Town
1–0
W
7 Mar
vs Bromley
1–1
D
3 Mar
vs Salford City
3–1
W
21 Feb
@ Bristol Rovers
1–3
L
18 Feb
vs Walsall
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crawley Town and Grimsby.
What is the prediction for Crawley Town vs Grimsby?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Crawley Town vs Grimsby?
On our numbers Crawley Town have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Grimsby 42%.
How many goals will there be in Crawley Town vs Grimsby?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crawley Town vs Grimsby?
Our predicted score is Crawley Town 1–1 Grimsby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Crawley Town vs Grimsby?
Crawley Town vs Grimsby (League Two) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Broadfield Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Barrow0
Cambridge United1
Harrogate Town2
Milton Keynes Dons1