Value bet: Accrington ST to win @ 3.75 – our chance 33% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGillingham to win ✓45% · @1.99
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.62
Gillingham vs Accrington ST preview and prediction
The match
Accrington ST travel to Priestfield Stadium in the League Two on Monday 6 April (15:00 WAT) to face Gillingham. Gillingham are 8th with 20 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Accrington ST sit 9th on 19 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Gillingham's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Walsall 2–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Accrington ST's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Crewe 2–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Accrington ST arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Gillingham and 1.1 for Accrington ST. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gillingham 45%, draw 22%, Accrington ST 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Accrington ST to win at 3.75 – 33% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Gillingham 1–1 Accrington ST. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gillingham45%fair 2.22 · @1.99
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.30
Accrington ST33%fair 3.03 · @3.75
2.42Expected goals
1.34Gillingham xG
1.09Accrington ST xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Gillingham 1.3 – 1.1 Accrington ST expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gillingham to win✓
45%
2.22
1.99
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gillingham / FT Gillingham✓
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.62
–
Form
Gillingham – last 5
DLLLL
3 Apr
@ Walsall
2–2
D
17 Mar
vs Swindon Town
0–2
L
10 Mar
vs Milton Keynes Dons
1–5
L
21 Feb
vs Oldham
0–3
L
17 Feb
@ Chesterfield
0–1
L
0.6Scored / game
2.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Accrington ST – last 5
WLLLW
3 Apr
vs Crewe
2–0
W
17 Mar
vs Notts County
0–4
L
24 Feb
vs Barnet
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Shrewsbury
0–2
L
17 Feb
@ Tranmere
1–0
W
0.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
0%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gillingham and Accrington ST.
What is the prediction for Gillingham vs Accrington ST?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Gillingham vs Accrington ST?
On our numbers Gillingham have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Accrington ST 33%.
How many goals will there be in Gillingham vs Accrington ST?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gillingham vs Accrington ST?
Our predicted score is Gillingham 1–1 Accrington ST, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Gillingham vs Accrington ST?
Gillingham vs Accrington ST (League Two) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Priestfield Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Barrow0
Cambridge United1
Harrogate Town2
Milton Keynes Dons1