Value bet: Bristol Rovers to win @ 2.60 – our chance 45% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBristol Rovers to win ✓45% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.65
Harrogate Town vs Bristol Rovers preview and prediction
The match
Harrogate Town host Bristol Rovers in the League Two on Monday 6 April, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Exercise Stadium.
Form guide
Harrogate Town's last 5: WLWDD Most recently they beat Grimsby 3–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bristol Rovers's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Fleetwood Town 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Harrogate Town and 1.3 for Bristol Rovers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 58%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Harrogate Town 33%, draw 22%, Bristol Rovers 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Bristol Rovers to win at 2.60 – 45% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Harrogate Town 1–1 Bristol Rovers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Harrogate Town33%fair 2.99 · @2.60
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.30
Bristol Rovers45%fair 2.24 · @2.60
2.44Expected goals
1.10Harrogate Town xG
1.33Bristol Rovers xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Harrogate Town 1.1 – 1.3 Bristol Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bristol Rovers to win✓
45%
2.24
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bristol Rovers / FT Bristol Rovers✗
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.65
–
Form
Harrogate Town – last 6
WLWDDW
3 Apr
@ Grimsby
3–1
W
28 Mar
vs Notts County
0–2
L
17 Mar
@ Tranmere
3–0
W
27 Feb
vs Cheltenham
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Bromley
0–0
D
17 Feb
@ Barrow
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Bristol Rovers – last 6
WWWDWL
3 Apr
vs Fleetwood Town
1–0
W
17 Mar
vs Shrewsbury
1–0
W
10 Mar
@ Barrow
2–0
W
28 Feb
@ Swindon Town
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Grimsby
3–1
W
17 Feb
@ Oldham
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Harrogate Town and Bristol Rovers.
What is the prediction for Harrogate Town vs Bristol Rovers?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Harrogate Town vs Bristol Rovers?
On our numbers Harrogate Town have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bristol Rovers 45%.
How many goals will there be in Harrogate Town vs Bristol Rovers?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Harrogate Town vs Bristol Rovers?
Our predicted score is Harrogate Town 1–1 Bristol Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Harrogate Town vs Bristol Rovers?
Harrogate Town vs Bristol Rovers (League Two) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Exercise Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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