Barrow host Chesterfield in the League Two on Monday 6 April, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Holker Street.
Form guide
Barrow's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Chesterfield's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Cheltenham 1–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chesterfield arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Barrow and 1.5 for Chesterfield. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 51%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Barrow 1–1 Chesterfield. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barrow28%fair 3.61 · @3.45
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.30
Chesterfield50%fair 1.98 · @2.10
2.59Expected goals
1.05Barrow xG
1.54Chesterfield xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Barrow 1.1 – 1.5 Chesterfield expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chesterfield to win✓
50%
1.98
2.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chesterfield / FT Chesterfield✗
29%
3.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.70
–
Form
Barrow – last 6
DLLDLL
3 Apr
@ Milton Keynes Dons
0–0
D
17 Mar
@ Salford City
1–3
L
10 Mar
vs Bristol Rovers
0–2
L
6 Mar
@ Cheltenham
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ Fleetwood Town
2–3
L
17 Feb
vs Harrogate Town
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chesterfield – last 5
WLWDW
3 Apr
vs Cheltenham
1–0
W
17 Mar
vs Oldham
0–3
L
3 Mar
vs Colchester
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ Crawley Town
1–1
D
17 Feb
vs Gillingham
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barrow and Chesterfield.
What is the prediction for Barrow vs Chesterfield?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Barrow vs Chesterfield?
On our numbers Barrow have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chesterfield 50%.
How many goals will there be in Barrow vs Chesterfield?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barrow vs Chesterfield?
Our predicted score is Barrow 1–1 Chesterfield, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Barrow vs Chesterfield?
Barrow vs Chesterfield (League Two) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Holker Street.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.