Value bet: Shrewsbury to win @ 3.20 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNotts County to win ✗44% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.64
Shrewsbury vs Notts County preview and prediction
The match
Notts County travel to The Croud Meadow in the League Two on Tuesday 17 February (20:45 WAT) to face Shrewsbury.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Shrewsbury and 1.3 for Notts County. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Shrewsbury 33%, draw 23%, Notts County 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Shrewsbury to win at 3.20 – 33% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Shrewsbury 1–1 Notts County. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shrewsbury33%fair 2.99 · @3.20
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.10
Notts County44%fair 2.27 · @2.30
2.46Expected goals
1.12Shrewsbury xG
1.34Notts County xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–29%
0–09%
0–28%
From our goals model: Shrewsbury 1.1 – 1.3 Notts County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Notts County to win✗
44%
2.27
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Notts County / FT Notts County✗
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.64
–
Form
Shrewsbury
No recent results on record.
Notts County
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shrewsbury and Notts County.
What is the prediction for Shrewsbury vs Notts County?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Shrewsbury vs Notts County?
On our numbers Shrewsbury have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Notts County 44%.
How many goals will there be in Shrewsbury vs Notts County?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shrewsbury vs Notts County?
Our predicted score is Shrewsbury 1–1 Notts County, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Shrewsbury vs Notts County?
Shrewsbury vs Notts County (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Croud Meadow.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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