Value bet: Gillingham to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChesterfield to win ✓41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.50
Chesterfield vs Gillingham preview and prediction
The match
Chesterfield host Gillingham in the League Two on Tuesday 17 February, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at SMH Group Stadium. Chesterfield are 10th with 19 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Gillingham sit 8th on 20 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Chesterfield and 1.3 for Gillingham. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 61%.
Value angle: Gillingham to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Chesterfield 1–1 Gillingham. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chesterfield41%fair 2.43 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
Gillingham35%fair 2.87 · @3.20
2.74Expected goals
1.44Chesterfield xG
1.30Gillingham xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Chesterfield 1.4 – 1.3 Gillingham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chesterfield to win✓
41%
2.43
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chesterfield / FT Chesterfield✓
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.50
–
Form
Chesterfield
No recent results on record.
Gillingham
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chesterfield and Gillingham.
What is the prediction for Chesterfield vs Gillingham?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Gillingham?
On our numbers Chesterfield have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gillingham 35%.
How many goals will there be in Chesterfield vs Gillingham?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chesterfield vs Gillingham?
Our predicted score is Chesterfield 1–1 Gillingham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Chesterfield vs Gillingham?
Chesterfield vs Gillingham (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at SMH Group Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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