Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Barrow to win @ 1.81 – our chance 64% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarrow to win ✗64% · @1.81
Double chanceBarrow or draw ✗87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.95
Barrow vs Harrogate Town preview and prediction
The match
Harrogate Town travel to Holker Street in the League Two on Tuesday 17 February (20:45 WAT) to face Barrow.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Barrow and 0.7 for Harrogate Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barrow 64%, draw 23%, Harrogate Town 13%.
Safer route: Barrow or draw (87%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Barrow to win at 1.81 – 64% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Barrow or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Barrow 1–0 Harrogate Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barrow64%fair 1.55 · @1.81
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.45
Harrogate Town13%fair 7.71 · @4.45
2.45Expected goals
1.79Barrow xG
0.66Harrogate Town xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Barrow 1.8 – 0.7 Harrogate Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barrow to win✗
64%
1.55
1.81 ▲
Double chance
Barrow or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Barrow ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barrow / FT Barrow✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.95
–
Form
Barrow
No recent results on record.
Harrogate Town
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barrow and Harrogate Town.
What is the prediction for Barrow vs Harrogate Town?
Our pick is Barrow or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Barrow vs Harrogate Town?
On our numbers Barrow have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Harrogate Town 13%.
How many goals will there be in Barrow vs Harrogate Town?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barrow vs Harrogate Town?
Our predicted score is Barrow 1–0 Harrogate Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Barrow vs Harrogate Town?
Barrow vs Harrogate Town (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Holker Street.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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