Value bet: Bristol Rovers to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOldham to win ✓43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.88
Oldham vs Bristol Rovers preview and prediction
The match
Oldham host Bristol Rovers in the League Two on Tuesday 17 February, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at Boundary Park. Oldham are 18th with 15 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Bristol Rovers sit 17th on 16 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Oldham and 1.1 for Bristol Rovers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 50%.
Value angle: Bristol Rovers to win at 3.30 – 34% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Oldham 1–1 Bristol Rovers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Oldham43%fair 2.30 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.20
Bristol Rovers34%fair 2.91 · @3.30
2.41Expected goals
1.30Oldham xG
1.11Bristol Rovers xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Oldham 1.3 – 1.1 Bristol Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oldham to win✓
43%
2.30
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oldham / FT Oldham✓
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.88
–
Form
Oldham
No recent results on record.
Bristol Rovers
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oldham and Bristol Rovers.
What is the prediction for Oldham vs Bristol Rovers?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Oldham vs Bristol Rovers?
On our numbers Oldham have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bristol Rovers 34%.
How many goals will there be in Oldham vs Bristol Rovers?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oldham vs Bristol Rovers?
Our predicted score is Oldham 1–1 Bristol Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Oldham vs Bristol Rovers?
Oldham vs Bristol Rovers (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Boundary Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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