Value bet: Barnet to win @ 1.72 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarnet to win ✗63% · @1.72
Double chanceBarnet or draw ✗87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Barnet vs Swindon Town preview and prediction
The match
The League Two sees Barnet take on Swindon Town on Tuesday 17 February, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at The Hive Stadium. Barnet are 2nd with 26 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Swindon Town sit 13th on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Barnet and 0.7 for Swindon Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barnet 63%, draw 24%, Swindon Town 13%.
Safer route: Barnet or draw (87%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Barnet to win at 1.72 – 63% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Barnet 2–0 Swindon Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barnet63%fair 1.58 · @1.72
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.65
Swindon Town13%fair 7.94 · @4.65
2.63Expected goals
1.89Barnet xG
0.74Swindon Town xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Barnet 1.9 – 0.7 Swindon Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barnet to win✗
63%
1.58
1.72 ▲
Double chance
Barnet or draw✗
87%
1.14
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.91
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Half-time result
Barnet ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barnet / FT Barnet✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.50
–
Form
Barnet
No recent results on record.
Swindon Town
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barnet and Swindon Town.
What is the prediction for Barnet vs Swindon Town?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Barnet vs Swindon Town?
On our numbers Barnet have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Swindon Town 13%.
How many goals will there be in Barnet vs Swindon Town?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barnet vs Swindon Town?
Our predicted score is Barnet 2–0 Swindon Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Barnet vs Swindon Town?
Barnet vs Swindon Town (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Hive Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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