Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.35 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.35Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVitesse to win ✗66% · @1.33
Double chanceVitesse or draw ✓87% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.37
Vitesse vs MVV preview and prediction
The match
The Eerste Divisie sees Vitesse take on MVV on Friday 17 April, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at GelreDome. Vitesse are 15th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom half), while MVV sit 8th on 0 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Vitesse's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Jong Utrecht 3–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
MVV's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Emmen 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Vitesse arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.4 for Vitesse and 1.0 for MVV. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vitesse 66%, draw 21%, MVV 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Vitesse 2–1 MVV. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vitesse66%fair 1.51 · @1.33
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @5.25
MVV13%fair 7.91 · @7.75
3.38Expected goals
2.38Vitesse xG
1.00MVV xG
63%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Vitesse 2.4 – 1.0 MVV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vitesse to win✗
66%
1.51
1.33
Double chance
Vitesse or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.90
Half-time result
Vitesse ahead at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vitesse / FT Vitesse✗
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.37
–
Form
Vitesse – last 6
WWDWWL
13 Apr
@ Jong Utrecht
3–0
W
6 Apr
vs Jong Ajax
6–1
W
3 Apr
vs Emmen
3–3
D
20 Mar
@ Jong PSV U21
2–0
W
16 Mar
@ Roda
1–0
W
13 Mar
vs Almere City FC
1–3
L
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
MVV – last 6
LLLDWD
6 Apr
@ Emmen
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs Waalwijk
1–3
L
22 Mar
vs Willem II
0–5
L
16 Mar
@ Jong AZ
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs VVV Venlo
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ Dordrecht
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vitesse and MVV.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Vitesse vs MVV?
On our numbers Vitesse have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and MVV 13%.
How many goals will there be in Vitesse vs MVV?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitesse vs MVV?
Our predicted score is Vitesse 2–1 MVV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Vitesse vs MVV?
Vitesse vs MVV (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at GelreDome.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cambuur1
ADO Den Haag5