Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVVV Venlo to win ✗41% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.52
Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo preview and prediction
The match
The Eerste Divisie sees Helmond Sport take on VVV Venlo on Friday 17 April, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at GS Staalwerken Stadion. Helmond Sport are 7th with 0 points from 0 games (in the top half), while VVV Venlo sit 2nd on 0 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Helmond Sport's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Waalwijk 2–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
VVV Venlo's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Jong PSV U21 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Helmond Sport and 1.5 for VVV Venlo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Helmond Sport 36%, draw 23%, VVV Venlo 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Helmond Sport 1–1 VVV Venlo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Helmond Sport36%fair 2.75 · @2.70
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.55
VVV Venlo41%fair 2.43 · @2.40
2.90Expected goals
1.40Helmond Sport xG
1.50VVV Venlo xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Helmond Sport 1.4 – 1.5 VVV Venlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
VVV Venlo to win✗
41%
2.43
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.48
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT VVV Venlo / FT VVV Venlo✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.52
–
Form
Helmond Sport – last 6
DLDLLD
6 Apr
vs Waalwijk
2–2
D
3 Apr
@ Jong AZ
0–2
L
20 Mar
@ Roda
1–1
D
16 Mar
vs Cambuur
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ Jong Utrecht
0–1
L
6 Mar
vs FC OSS
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
VVV Venlo – last 6
LWDLLL
6 Apr
@ Jong PSV U21
0–1
L
3 Apr
vs Cambuur
3–0
W
20 Mar
@ Emmen
2–2
D
17 Mar
vs Jong Ajax
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ MVV
1–2
L
6 Mar
vs Waalwijk
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Helmond Sport and VVV Venlo.
What is the prediction for Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo?
On our numbers Helmond Sport have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and VVV Venlo 41%.
How many goals will there be in Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo?
Our predicted score is Helmond Sport 1–1 VVV Venlo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo?
Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at GS Staalwerken Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cambuur1
ADO Den Haag5