Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.90 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.90Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlmere City FC to win ✓63% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Almere City FC vs Dordrecht preview and prediction
The match
The Eerste Divisie sees Almere City FC take on Dordrecht on Friday 17 April, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Yanmar Stadion. Almere City FC are 9th with 0 points from 0 games (in the top half), while Dordrecht sit 4th on 0 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Almere City FC's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Den Bosch 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Dordrecht's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat ADO Den Haag 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Almere City FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.1 for Almere City FC and 1.1 for Dordrecht. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Almere City FC 63%, draw 14%, Dordrecht 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.42.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Almere City FC to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.90, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Almere City FC 2–1 Dordrecht. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Almere City FC63%fair 1.58 · @1.90
Draw14%fair 7.06 · @3.85
Dordrecht23%fair 4.44 · @3.50
3.23Expected goals
2.11Almere City FC xG
1.12Dordrecht xG
66%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Almere City FC 2.1 – 1.1 Dordrecht expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almere City FC to win✓
63%
1.58
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.67
Half-time result
Almere City FC ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Almere City FC / FT Almere City FC✓
39%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Form
Almere City FC – last 6
LWWDWL
6 Apr
vs Den Bosch
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs FC OSS
3–2
W
20 Mar
@ Jong Ajax
2–0
W
17 Mar
vs Waalwijk
2–2
D
13 Mar
@ Vitesse
3–1
W
3 Mar
@ Cambuur
2–3
L
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Dordrecht – last 6
WDLLDD
12 Apr
vs ADO Den Haag
1–0
W
6 Apr
@ Cambuur
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Roda
0–3
L
20 Mar
@ Jong Utrecht
1–3
L
17 Mar
vs FC OSS
2–2
D
6 Mar
vs MVV
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almere City FC and Dordrecht.
What is the prediction for Almere City FC vs Dordrecht?
Our pick is Almere City FC to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Almere City FC vs Dordrecht?
On our numbers Almere City FC have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Dordrecht 23%.
How many goals will there be in Almere City FC vs Dordrecht?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almere City FC vs Dordrecht?
Our predicted score is Almere City FC 2–1 Dordrecht, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Almere City FC vs Dordrecht?
Almere City FC vs Dordrecht (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Yanmar Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cambuur1
ADO Den Haag5