Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.77 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.77Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultJong PSV U21 to win ✗63% · @1.77
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.55
Jong PSV U21 vs Jong Ajax preview and prediction
The match
Jong Ajax travel to De Herdgang in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 17 April (19:00 WAT) to face Jong PSV U21. Jong PSV U21 are 17th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom half), while Jong Ajax sit 18th on 0 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Jong PSV U21's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Jong AZ 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Jong Ajax's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to FC OSS 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.3 for Jong PSV U21 and 1.3 for Jong Ajax. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jong PSV U21 63%, draw 15%, Jong Ajax 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.30.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Jong PSV U21 to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.77, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Jong PSV U21 2–1 Jong Ajax. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jong PSV U2163%fair 1.59 · @1.77
Draw15%fair 6.55 · @4.20
Jong Ajax22%fair 4.57 · @3.75
3.56Expected goals
2.30Jong PSV U21 xG
1.26Jong Ajax xG
69%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Jong PSV U21 2.3 – 1.3 Jong Ajax expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jong PSV U21 to win✗
63%
1.59
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.45
1.30
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.80
Half-time result
Jong PSV U21 ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jong PSV U21 / FT Jong PSV U21✗
39%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.55
–
Form
Jong PSV U21 – last 6
WWLLLL
13 Apr
@ Jong AZ
2–0
W
6 Apr
vs VVV Venlo
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Willem II
0–1
L
20 Mar
vs Vitesse
0–2
L
16 Mar
@ Den Bosch
0–1
L
13 Mar
vs FC Eindhoven
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Jong Ajax – last 6
LLLLWW
13 Apr
vs FC OSS
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Vitesse
1–6
L
3 Apr
@ ADO Den Haag
2–4
L
20 Mar
vs Almere City FC
0–2
L
17 Mar
@ VVV Venlo
1–0
W
13 Mar
vs Den Bosch
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jong PSV U21 and Jong Ajax.
What is the prediction for Jong PSV U21 vs Jong Ajax?
Our pick is Jong PSV U21 to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.77.
Who will win Jong PSV U21 vs Jong Ajax?
On our numbers Jong PSV U21 have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Jong Ajax 22%.
How many goals will there be in Jong PSV U21 vs Jong Ajax?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong PSV U21 vs Jong Ajax?
Our predicted score is Jong PSV U21 2–1 Jong Ajax, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Jong PSV U21 vs Jong Ajax?
Jong PSV U21 vs Jong Ajax (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at De Herdgang.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cambuur1
ADO Den Haag5