Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultADO Den Haag to win ✓61% · @1.70
Double chanceADO Den Haag or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15
ADO Den Haag vs Waalwijk preview and prediction
The match
ADO Den Haag host Waalwijk in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 17 April, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Bingoal Stadion.
Form guide
ADO Den Haag's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Dordrecht 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Waalwijk's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Emmen 5–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.2 for ADO Den Haag and 1.1 for Waalwijk. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: ADO Den Haag 61%, draw 23%, Waalwijk 16%.
Safer route: ADO Den Haag or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was ADO Den Haag or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: ADO Den Haag 2–1 Waalwijk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ADO Den Haag61%fair 1.63 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @4.20
Waalwijk16%fair 6.27 · @4.20
3.26Expected goals
2.19ADO Den Haag xG
1.07Waalwijk xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: ADO Den Haag 2.2 – 1.1 Waalwijk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ADO Den Haag to win✓
61%
1.63
1.70
Double chance
ADO Den Haag or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.62
Half-time result
ADO Den Haag ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ADO Den Haag / FT ADO Den Haag✓
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.15
–
Form
ADO Den Haag – last 6
LWWWWW
12 Apr
@ Dordrecht
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs FC Eindhoven
4–0
W
3 Apr
vs Jong Ajax
4–2
W
22 Mar
@ De Graafschap
2–1
W
17 Mar
vs Jong Utrecht
1–0
W
13 Mar
@ Emmen
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Waalwijk – last 6
WDWDWW
10 Apr
vs Emmen
5–0
W
6 Apr
@ Helmond Sport
2–2
D
3 Apr
@ MVV
3–1
W
17 Mar
@ Almere City FC
2–2
D
13 Mar
vs Jong AZ
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ VVV Venlo
3–0
W
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ADO Den Haag and Waalwijk.
What is the prediction for ADO Den Haag vs Waalwijk?
Our pick is ADO Den Haag or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs Waalwijk?
On our numbers ADO Den Haag have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Waalwijk 16%.
How many goals will there be in ADO Den Haag vs Waalwijk?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ADO Den Haag vs Waalwijk?
Our predicted score is ADO Den Haag 2–1 Waalwijk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is ADO Den Haag vs Waalwijk?
ADO Den Haag vs Waalwijk (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Bingoal Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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