Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUtrecht to win ✓65% · @1.46
Double chanceUtrecht or draw ✓85% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.21
Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard preview and prediction
The match
Utrecht host Fortuna Sittard in the Eredivisie on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT) at Stadion Galgenwaard. Utrecht are 14th with 12 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Fortuna Sittard sit 7th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Utrecht's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Excelsior 0–5 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fortuna Sittard's last 4: LDLW Most recently they lost to Feyenoord 1–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Utrecht arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for Utrecht and 1.0 for Fortuna Sittard. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 64%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Utrecht 2–1 Fortuna Sittard. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Utrecht65%fair 1.55 · @1.46
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @4.70
Fortuna Sittard15%fair 6.74 · @5.75
3.29Expected goals
2.27Utrecht xG
1.02Fortuna Sittard xG
64%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Utrecht 2.3 – 1.0 Fortuna Sittard expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Utrecht to win✓
65%
1.55
1.46
Double chance
Utrecht or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
1.80
Half-time result
Utrecht ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Utrecht / FT Utrecht✓
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.21
–
Form
Utrecht – last 6
LWWDWD
26 Apr
@ Excelsior
0–5
L
22 Mar
vs GO Ahead Eagles
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Twente
2–0
W
6 Mar
@ Heracles
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs AZ Alkmaar
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs PEC Zwolle
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Fortuna Sittard – last 4
LDLW
3 May
vs Feyenoord
1–2
L
12 Apr
vs NAC Breda
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Telstar
1–4
L
20 Feb
vs Excelsior
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Utrecht and Fortuna Sittard.
What is the prediction for Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard?
On our numbers Utrecht have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fortuna Sittard 15%.
How many goals will there be in Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard?
Our predicted score is Utrecht 2–1 Fortuna Sittard, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard?
Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Galgenwaard.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
NAC Breda3
FC Volendam1
Heracles1