Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGroningen to win ✓63% · @1.53
Double chanceGroningen or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.25
Heracles vs Groningen preview and prediction
The match
The Eredivisie sees Heracles take on Groningen on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 13:30 (WAT) at Asito Stadion.
Form guide
Heracles's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to PEC Zwolle 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Groningen's last 4: WDLL Most recently they beat AZ Alkmaar 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Groningen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.0 for Heracles and 2.3 for Groningen. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Groningen to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Heracles 1–2 Groningen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Heracles13%fair 7.45 · @4.90
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @4.65
Groningen63%fair 1.58 · @1.53
3.33Expected goals
1.03Heracles xG
2.30Groningen xG
63%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–29%
1–18%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Heracles 1.0 – 2.3 Groningen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Groningen to win✓
63%
1.58
1.53
Double chance
Groningen or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.80
Half-time result
Groningen ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Groningen / FT Groningen✗
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.25
–
Form
Heracles – last 6
LLLDLD
3 May
@ PEC Zwolle
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs FC Volendam
0–2
L
5 Apr
@ Heerenveen
1–4
L
20 Mar
vs Excelsior
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ AZ Alkmaar
0–4
L
6 Mar
vs Utrecht
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Groningen – last 4
WDLL
22 Mar
vs AZ Alkmaar
3–0
W
13 Mar
@ PEC Zwolle
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ FC Volendam
2–3
L
22 Feb
@ Twente
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Heracles and Groningen.
Our pick is Groningen to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Heracles vs Groningen?
On our numbers Heracles have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Groningen 63%.
How many goals will there be in Heracles vs Groningen?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heracles vs Groningen?
Our predicted score is Heracles 1–2 Groningen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Heracles vs Groningen?
Heracles vs Groningen (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Asito Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
NAC Breda3
FC Volendam1