Cyprus U21 vs San Marino U21 preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA U21 Championship Qualification sees Cyprus U21 take on San Marino U21 on Tuesday 6 October, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at AEK Arena. Cyprus U21 are 5th with 11 points from 10 games, while San Marino U21 sit 6th on 1 points.
Form guide
Cyprus U21's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Kosovo U21 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game.
San Marino U21's last 4: LLLL Most recently they lost to Spain U21 0–13 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.0 goals: 3.6 for Cyprus U21 and 1.4 for San Marino U21. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 3.50, above our fair price of 1.84, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cyprus U21 3–1 San Marino U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cyprus U2176%fair 1.32 · @1.03
Draw16%fair 6.10 · @13.00
San Marino U218%fair 12.69 · @81.00
5.00Expected goals
3.61Cyprus U21 xG
1.39San Marino U21 xG
54%Both score
88%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–17%
4–17%
2–16%
3–05%
3–25%
5–15%
From our goals model: Cyprus U21 3.6 – 1.4 San Marino U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cyprus U21 to win✓
76%
1.32
1.03
Double chance
Cyprus U21 or draw✓
92%
1.09
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
3.50 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Cyprus U21 ahead at half-time✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cyprus U21 / FT Cyprus U21✓
56%
1.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
7%
13.62
–
Form
Cyprus U21 – last 5
LLDLL
30 Sep
@ Kosovo U21
1–2
L
25 Sep
vs Romania U21
0–3
L
5 Jun
@ Montenegro U21
1–1
D
31 Mar
@ Finland U21
0–3
L
27 Mar
vs Spain U21
0–7
L
0.4Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
San Marino U21 – last 4
LLLL
1 Oct
vs Spain U21
0–13
L
24 Sep
vs Kosovo U21
0–3
L
31 Mar
@ Romania U21
0–3
L
26 Mar
vs Finland U21
0–8
L
0.0Scored / game
6.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cyprus U21 and San Marino U21.
What is the prediction for Cyprus U21 vs San Marino U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 3.50.
Who will win Cyprus U21 vs San Marino U21?
On our numbers Cyprus U21 have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 16% and San Marino U21 8%.
How many goals will there be in Cyprus U21 vs San Marino U21?
We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cyprus U21 vs San Marino U21?
Our predicted score is Cyprus U21 3–1 San Marino U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.
When is Cyprus U21 vs San Marino U21?
Cyprus U21 vs San Marino U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at AEK Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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