Northern Ireland U21 vs Greece U21 preview and prediction
The match
Northern Ireland U21 host Greece U21 in the UEFA U21 Championship Qualification on Tuesday 6 October, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Mourneview Park. Northern Ireland U21 are 3rd with 7 points from 8 games, while Greece U21 sit 3rd on 17 points.
Form guide
Northern Ireland U21's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Georgia U21 1–1 at home. They average 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Greece U21's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Latvia U21 4–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.0 for Northern Ireland U21 and 2.2 for Greece U21. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.76, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Northern Ireland U21 1–2 Greece U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Northern Ireland U2117%fair 5.96 · @9.00
Draw18%fair 5.48 · @4.80
Greece U2165%fair 1.54 · @1.25
3.28Expected goals
1.04Northern Ireland U21 xG
2.24Greece U21 xG
57%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Northern Ireland U21 1.0 – 2.2 Greece U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Greece U21 to win✓
65%
1.54
1.25
Double chance
Greece U21 or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Greece U21 ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Greece U21 / FT Greece U21✓
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.19
–
Form
Northern Ireland U21 – last 5
DWLWL
1 Oct
vs Georgia U21
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Malta U21
4–0
W
3 Jun
@ Portugal U21
0–4
L
31 Mar
@ Latvia U21
3–1
W
27 Mar
@ Germany U21
0–3
L
1.6Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Greece U21 – last 6
WWDLLW
1 Oct
vs Latvia U21
4–2
W
26 Sep
@ Georgia U21
3–0
W
30 May
@ Croatia U21
1–1
D
27 May
vs Qatar U20
1–2
L
31 Mar
vs Germany U21
0–2
L
27 Mar
vs Malta U21
5–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Northern Ireland U21 and Greece U21.
What is the prediction for Northern Ireland U21 vs Greece U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Northern Ireland U21 vs Greece U21?
On our numbers Northern Ireland U21 have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Greece U21 65%.
How many goals will there be in Northern Ireland U21 vs Greece U21?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Northern Ireland U21 vs Greece U21?
Our predicted score is Northern Ireland U21 1–2 Greece U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Northern Ireland U21 vs Greece U21?
Northern Ireland U21 vs Greece U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Mourneview Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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