Latvia U21 host Malta U21 in the UEFA U21 Championship Qualification on Tuesday 6 October, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Daugavas stadions. Latvia U21 are 5th with 7 points from 10 games, while Malta U21 sit 5th on 6 points. Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Latvia U21's last 4: LLLD Most recently they lost to Greece U21 2–4 away. They average 1.0 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Malta U21's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Germany U21 1–4 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.5 for Latvia U21 and 1.1 for Malta U21. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Latvia U21 69%, draw 17%, Malta U21 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Latvia U21 to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Latvia U21 2–1 Malta U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Latvia U2169%fair 1.45 · @1.30
Draw17%fair 5.91 · @4.50
Malta U2114%fair 7.17 · @8.50
3.56Expected goals
2.51Latvia U21 xG
1.05Malta U21 xG
57%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
1–17%
3–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Latvia U21 2.5 – 1.1 Malta U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Latvia U21 to win✓
69%
1.45
1.30
Double chance
Latvia U21 or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Latvia U21 ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Latvia U21 / FT Latvia U21✗
46%
2.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.63
–
Form
Latvia U21 – last 4
LLLD
1 Oct
@ Greece U21
2–4
L
26 Sep
vs Germany U21
0–4
L
31 Mar
vs Northern Ireland U21
1–3
L
27 Mar
@ Georgia U21
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Malta U21 – last 5
LLLLL
30 Sep
vs Germany U21
1–4
L
26 Sep
vs Northern Ireland U21
0–4
L
4 Jun
@ Moldova U21
0–3
L
31 Mar
@ Georgia U21
1–4
L
27 Mar
@ Greece U21
0–5
L
0.4Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Latvia U21 and Malta U21.
What is the prediction for Latvia U21 vs Malta U21?
Our pick is Latvia U21 to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Latvia U21 vs Malta U21?
On our numbers Latvia U21 have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Malta U21 14%.
How many goals will there be in Latvia U21 vs Malta U21?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Latvia U21 vs Malta U21?
Our predicted score is Latvia U21 2–1 Malta U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Latvia U21 vs Malta U21?
Latvia U21 vs Malta U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Daugavas stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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