Wales U21 vs Austria U21 prediction & analysis
Austria U21 or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Value bet: Austria U21 to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Wales U21 1.0 – 2.1 Austria U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Austria U21 travel as clear favourites – 63% to win, against 17% for Wales U21.
Wales U21 have taken 3 points from their last 3 matches (1W 0D 2L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.7 per game. Austria U21 have 4 points from their last 3 (1W 1D 1L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 3.1 goals (1.0 for Wales U21, 2.1 for Austria U21). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 0–2 (10%), 1–2 (10%), 0–1 (10%).
Our pick is Austria U21 or draw at a 83% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.21. For a bigger price, Austria U21 to win at 1.75 is our value angle (63% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Austria U21 to win ✓ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.75 ▲ |
| Double chance | Austria U21 or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.77 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 63% | 1.58 | – |
| Half-time result | Austria U21 ahead at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Austria U21 / FT Austria U21 ✓ | 40% | 2.48 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–2 ✗ | 10% | 9.92 | – |
Form
Wales U21 – last 3
| 29 Sep | @ Belgium U21 | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Mar | @ Denmark U21 | 0–4 | L |
| 27 Mar | vs Belarus U21 | 2–0 | W |
Austria U21 – last 3
| 2 Oct | vs Denmark U21 | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Mar | vs Belarus U21 | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Mar | @ Belgium U21 | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wales U21 and Austria U21.
UEFA U21 Championship Qualification table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Norway U21 | 10 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 |  Croatia U21 | 10 | +15 | 22 |
| 3 |  Finland U21 | 10 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 |  Austria U21 | 10 | +9 | 16 |
| 5 |  Azerbaijan U21 | 10 | -12 | 7 |
| 6 |  Estonia U21 | 10 | -32 | 0 |
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Bosnia-Herzegovina U210Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Wales U21 vs Austria U21?
Our pick is Austria U21 or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Wales U21 vs Austria U21?
On our numbers Wales U21 have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Austria U21 63%.
How many goals will there be in Wales U21 vs Austria U21?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Wales U21 vs Austria U21?
Wales U21 vs Austria U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at The Oval.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.