Value bet: Belgium U21 to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBelgium U21 to win ✗43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.49
Denmark U21 vs Belgium U21 preview and prediction
The match
Belgium U21 travel to Vejle Stadion in the UEFA U21 Championship Qualification on Tuesday 6 October (17:30 WAT) to face Denmark U21. Denmark U21 are 3rd with 17 points from 8 games (in the top four), while Belgium U21 sit 1st on 20 points (top of the table). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Denmark U21's last 3: DWW Most recently they drew with Austria U21 1–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Belgium U21's last 4: WWLW Most recently they beat Wales U21 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Denmark U21 and 1.4 for Belgium U21. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 47%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Belgium U21 to win at 2.50 – 43% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Either team to win – a 78% chance at odds of 1.33, above our fair price of 1.29, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Denmark U21 0–1 Belgium U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Denmark U2134%fair 2.90 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.00
Belgium U2143%fair 2.32 · @2.50
2.57Expected goals
1.19Denmark U21 xG
1.38Belgium U21 xG
47%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Denmark U21 1.2 – 1.4 Belgium U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Belgium U21 to win✗
43%
2.32
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Belgium U21 / FT Belgium U21✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.49
–
Form
Denmark U21 – last 3
DWW
2 Oct
@ Austria U21
1–1
D
28 Sep
vs Belarus U21
2–0
W
31 Mar
vs Wales U21
4–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Belgium U21 – last 4
WWLW
29 Sep
vs Wales U21
1–0
W
24 Sep
vs Belarus U21
1–0
W
30 Mar
@ Netherlands U21
1–2
L
27 Mar
vs Austria U21
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Denmark U21 and Belgium U21.
What is the prediction for Denmark U21 vs Belgium U21?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Denmark U21 vs Belgium U21?
On our numbers Denmark U21 have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Belgium U21 43%.
How many goals will there be in Denmark U21 vs Belgium U21?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Denmark U21 vs Belgium U21?
Our predicted score is Denmark U21 0–1 Belgium U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Denmark U21 vs Belgium U21?
Denmark U21 vs Belgium U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Vejle Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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