Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓90% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗13% · fair 7.67
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima preview and prediction
The match
Sanfrecce Hiroshima travel to Sunpro Alwin in the J League Cup on Wednesday 14 October (11:00 WAT) to face Matsumoto Yamaga.
Form guide
Matsumoto Yamaga's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Kagoshima United 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Tokyo Verdy 2–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.7 for Matsumoto Yamaga and 2.3 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 51%.
Our pre-match pick was Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win – a 73% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Matsumoto Yamaga 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Matsumoto Yamaga10%fair 10.47 · @10.00
Draw18%fair 5.60 · @5.00
Sanfrecce Hiroshima73%fair 1.38 · @1.20
3.00Expected goals
0.71Matsumoto Yamaga xG
2.29Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
51%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–213%
0–111%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: Matsumoto Yamaga 0.7 – 2.3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win✓
73%
1.38
1.20
Double chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima✓
49%
2.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
13%
7.67
–
Form
Matsumoto Yamaga – last 6
WLWWDL
11 Oct
vs Kagoshima United
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Gainare Tottori
0–1
L
29 Sep
vs Albirex Niigata
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ Tochigi SC
2–1
W
18 Sep
@ Roasso Kumamoto
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Sagamihara
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima – last 6
WWWWWL
11 Oct
@ Tokyo Verdy
2–0
W
7 Oct
vs Iwaki
4–0
W
29 Sep
@ Tochigi City
2–0
W
19 Sep
@ Avispa Fukuoka
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Cerezo Osaka
6–1
W
6 Sep
@ Fagiano Okayama
2–3
L
2.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Matsumoto Yamaga and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
What is the prediction for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Our pick is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Matsumoto Yamaga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
On our numbers Matsumoto Yamaga have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 73%.
How many goals will there be in Matsumoto Yamaga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Our predicted score is Matsumoto Yamaga 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Matsumoto Yamaga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (J League Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Sunpro Alwin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Urawa4
Gainare Tottori2
Cerezo Osaka3
Jubilo Iwata0
Kawasaki Frontale4
Mito Hollyhock1
FC Tokyo0
Fagiano Okayama3
Sagan Tosu2
Avispa Fukuoka1
Yokohama F. Marinos2
Shimizu S-pulse1