J League Cup · Japan · Ekimae Real Estate Stadium
Sagan Tosu vs Avispa Fukuoka prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sagan Tosu 1.4 – 1.6 Avispa Fukuoka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Avispa Fukuoka shade it despite being away from home – 45% to win, against 32% for Sagan Tosu.
Sagan Tosu have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.3 per game. Avispa Fukuoka have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.4 for Sagan Tosu, 1.6 for Avispa Fukuoka). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is better than our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Avispa Fukuoka to win ✗ | 45% | 2.22 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.75 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 40% | 2.53 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Avispa Fukuoka / FT Avispa Fukuoka ✗ | 27% | 3.76 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 10.97 | – |
Form
Sagan Tosu – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Fujieda MYFC | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Blaublitz Akita | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Sep | vs Tokyo Verdy | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ Montedio Yamagata | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Sep | @ Vissel Kobe | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Iwaki | 1–3 | L |
Avispa Fukuoka – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Fagiano Okayama | 2–1 | W |
| 7 Oct | vs Yokohama FC | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Sep | @ Osaka | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Shimizu S-pulse | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Mito Hollyhock | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sagan Tosu and Avispa Fukuoka.
J League Cup table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 6 | +9 | 15 |
| 2 |  Consadole Sapporo | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 3 |  Jubilo Iwata | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 |  Sagan Tosu | 6 | -11 | 4 |
More J League Cup predictions
League hub
Yokohama FC0
Urawa4
Gainare Tottori2
Cerezo Osaka3
Kawasaki Frontale4
Mito Hollyhock1
FC Tokyo0
Nagoya Grampus3
Fagiano Okayama3
Matsumoto Yamaga0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1
Shimizu S-pulse1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Sagan Tosu vs Avispa Fukuoka?
On our numbers Sagan Tosu have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Avispa Fukuoka 45%.
How many goals will there be in Sagan Tosu vs Avispa Fukuoka?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Sagan Tosu vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Sagan Tosu vs Avispa Fukuoka (J League Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.