Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-pulse prediction & analysis

Yokohama F. Marinos are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 14% for Shimizu S-pulse.

Yokohama F. Marinos have taken 14 points from their last 6 matches (4W 2D 0L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.5 per game. Shimizu S-pulse have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.

We expect around 2.5 goals (1.8 for Yokohama F. Marinos, 0.7 for Shimizu S-pulse). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (10%).

In their last 3 meetings, Yokohama F. Marinos have won 2, Shimizu S-pulse have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Yokohama F. Marinos or draw at a 86% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Yokohama F. Marinos to win at 1.95 is our value angle (64% on our numbers).