Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNagoya Grampus to win ✗42% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.78
Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama preview and prediction
The match
Nagoya Grampus host Fagiano Okayama in the J League Cup on Wednesday 14 October, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Toyota Stadium.
Form guide
Nagoya Grampus's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Kawasaki Frontale 2–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Fagiano Okayama's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Avispa Fukuoka 1–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Fagiano Okayama arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 August 2026, finished Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Fagiano Okayama.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.8 for Nagoya Grampus and 1.7 for Fagiano Okayama. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nagoya Grampus 42%, draw 24%, Fagiano Okayama 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Fagiano Okayama. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nagoya Grampus42%fair 2.41 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.00
Fagiano Okayama34%fair 2.93 · @2.90
3.50Expected goals
1.84Nagoya Grampus xG
1.66Fagiano Okayama xG
66%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
3–15%
From our goals model: Nagoya Grampus 1.8 – 1.7 Fagiano Okayama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?
On our numbers Nagoya Grampus have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fagiano Okayama 34%.
How many goals will there be in Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?
Our predicted score is Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Fagiano Okayama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?
Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama (J League Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.