Thursday, 12 November 2026 18 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
J League Cup · Japan · Toyota Stadium
3–3
FTPens 4–3

Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama prediction & analysis

66%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.65Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultNagoya Grampus to win ✗42% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.78

Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama preview and prediction

The match

Nagoya Grampus host Fagiano Okayama in the J League Cup on Wednesday 14 October, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Toyota Stadium.

Form guide

Nagoya Grampus's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Kawasaki Frontale 2–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Fagiano Okayama's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Avispa Fukuoka 1–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Fagiano Okayama arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 29 August 2026, finished Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Fagiano Okayama.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.8 for Nagoya Grampus and 1.7 for Fagiano Okayama. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Fagiano Okayama. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Nagoya Grampus42%fair 2.41 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.00
Fagiano Okayama34%fair 2.93 · @2.90
3.50Expected goals
1.84Nagoya Grampus xG
1.66Fagiano Okayama xG
66%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
3–15%

From our goals model: Nagoya Grampus 1.8 – 1.7 Fagiano Okayama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNagoya Grampus to win ✗42%2.412.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.521.65 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗54%1.86–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓36%2.77–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nagoya Grampus / FT Nagoya Grampus ✗26%3.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.78–

Form

Nagoya Grampus – last 6

WWLLLL
11 Oct@ Kawasaki Frontale2–1W
29 Sep@ Kitakyushu3–1W
19 Sep@ FC Tokyo0–1L
12 Sep@ V-varen Nagasaki0–2L
6 Sepvs Machida Zelvia1–3L
2 Sep@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Fagiano Okayama – last 6

LWWLWW
10 Oct@ Avispa Fukuoka1–2L
7 Octvs JEF United Chiba1–0W
29 Sep@ Consadole Sapporo2–1W
19 Sepvs Kyoto Sanga1–2L
13 Sep@ Urawa2–1W
6 Sepvs Sanfrecce Hiroshima3–2W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Aug 2026Nagoya Grampus v Fagiano Okayama2–1
Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama head-to-head page →

J League Cup table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nagoya Grampus6501+615
2Sanfrecce Hiroshima6303+59
3Yokohama FC6204-36
4Vissel Kobe6204-86

More J League Cup predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?

On our numbers Nagoya Grampus have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fagiano Okayama 34%.

How many goals will there be in Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?

Our predicted score is Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Fagiano Okayama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?

Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama (J League Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.