Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool Montevideo preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División Apertura sees Deportivo Maldonado take on Liverpool Montevideo on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel. Deportivo Maldonado are 4th with 22 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Liverpool Montevideo sit 1st on 30 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Deportivo Maldonado's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Central Espanol 3–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Liverpool Montevideo's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Progreso 3–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Deportivo Maldonado and 1.1 for Liverpool Montevideo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo Maldonado 43%, draw 23%, Liverpool Montevideo 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Deportivo Maldonado 1–1 Liverpool Montevideo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Maldonado43%fair 2.34 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
Liverpool Montevideo34%fair 2.96 · @2.88
2.39Expected goals
1.29Deportivo Maldonado xG
1.10Liverpool Montevideo xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Deportivo Maldonado 1.3 – 1.1 Liverpool Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Maldonado to win✗
43%
2.34
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Maldonado / FT Deportivo Maldonado✗
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.48
–
Form
Deportivo Maldonado – last 6
WWWWLW
3 Oct
vs Central Espanol
3–0
W
27 Sep
@ Atletico Torque
2–0
W
24 Sep
@ Cerro
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Juventud
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Defensor Sporting
0–1
L
10 Sep
vs Wanderers
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Liverpool Montevideo – last 6
WWWDLW
3 Oct
vs Progreso
3–2
W
27 Sep
@ Central Espanol
2–1
W
23 Sep
vs Colón
3–0
W
21 Sep
vs Racing Montevideo
0–0
D
14 Sep
@ Atletico Torque
1–3
L
6 Sep
vs Boston River
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Maldonado and Liverpool Montevideo.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool Montevideo?
On our numbers Deportivo Maldonado have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Liverpool Montevideo 34%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool Montevideo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Maldonado 1–1 Liverpool Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool Montevideo (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
