Primera División Apertura · UruguayWanderers vs Boston River prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Wanderers 1.3 – 1.1 Boston River expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Wanderers hold the edge on home soil with a 44% chance of winning, against 34% for Boston River.
Wanderers have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.3 per game. Boston River have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.3 for Wanderers, 1.1 for Boston River). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 0–1 (10%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 59% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.80 is better than our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Wanderers to win ✗ | 44% | 2.29 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 59% | 1.71 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 77% | 1.29 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Wanderers / FT Wanderers ✗ | 24% | 4.20 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.64 | – |
Form
Wanderers – last 6
| 7 Oct | @ Cerrito | 2–2 | D |
| 4 Oct | @ Cerro | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | vs Albion FC | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Sep | vs Cerrito | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Danubio | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Club Nacional | 1–1 | D |
Boston River – last 6
| 4 Oct | vs Juventud | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ Penarol | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Sep | vs Fenix | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Progreso | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Racing Montevideo | 2–3 | L |
| 9 Sep | vs Colón | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wanderers and Boston River.
Primera División Apertura table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Penarol | 35 | +24 | 65 |
| 2 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 35 | +22 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Torque | 35 | +18 | 63 |
| 4 |  Club Nacional | 35 | +11 | 61 |
| 5 |  Racing Montevideo | 35 | +14 | 60 |
| 6 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 35 | +16 | 59 |
| 7 |  Wanderers | 35 | -2 | 51 |
| 8 |  Albion FC | 35 | +3 | 47 |
| 9 |  Juventud | 35 | -6 | 41 |
| 10 |  Central Espanol | 35 | -13 | 41 |
| 11 |  Defensor Sporting | 35 | -8 | 39 |
| 12 |  Cerro Largo | 35 | -8 | 37 |
| 13 |  Boston River | 35 | -13 | 37 |
| 14 |  Cerro | 35 | -24 | 37 |
| 15 |  Progreso | 35 | -18 | 35 |
| 16 |  Danubio | 35 | -16 | 32 |
More Primera División Apertura predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Wanderers vs Boston River?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Wanderers vs Boston River?
On our numbers Wanderers have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Boston River 34%.
How many goals will there be in Wanderers vs Boston River?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Wanderers vs Boston River?
Wanderers vs Boston River (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.