Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Sevilla to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSevilla to win ✗39% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.82
Sevilla vs Aston Villa preview and prediction
The match
Sevilla host Aston Villa in the Friendlies Clubs on Friday 2 October, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Sevilla's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Barcelona 1–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Aston Villa's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Tottenham 3–2 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Sevilla and 1.4 for Aston Villa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sevilla 39%, draw 23%, Aston Villa 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Sevilla to win at 2.90 – 39% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Sevilla 1–1 Aston Villa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sevilla39%fair 2.55 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.40
Aston Villa38%fair 2.62 · @2.10
2.90Expected goals
1.46Sevilla xG
1.44Aston Villa xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Sevilla 1.5 – 1.4 Aston Villa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sevilla to win✗
39%
2.55
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.44
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sevilla / FT Sevilla✗
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.82
–
Form
Sevilla – last 6
LWWDLW
19 Sep
vs Barcelona
1–3
L
16 Sep
@ Deportivo La Coruna
1–0
W
11 Sep
vs Valencia
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Espanyol
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Atletico Madrid
1–3
L
22 Aug
@ Athletic Club
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Aston Villa – last 6
WWLWDL
19 Sep
@ Tottenham
3–2
W
16 Sep
@ Coventry
3–1
W
12 Sep
vs Nottingham Forest
1–2
L
8 Sep
@ Club Brugge KV
3–2
W
5 Sep
@ Hull City
0–0
D
31 Aug
vs Arsenal
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sevilla and Aston Villa.
What is the prediction for Sevilla vs Aston Villa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sevilla vs Aston Villa?
On our numbers Sevilla have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Aston Villa 38%.
How many goals will there be in Sevilla vs Aston Villa?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sevilla vs Aston Villa?
Our predicted score is Sevilla 1–1 Aston Villa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sevilla vs Aston Villa?
Sevilla vs Aston Villa (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv2
Arda Kardzhali0
Gornik Zabrze0
Odra Opole2
Sudtirol2
Wacker Innsbruck3
Pardubice4
Viktoria Žižkov1
Zlin1
Prostějov2
FC Lugano1
Hellas Verona3
Raków Częstochowa4
Polonia Bytom1
1. FC Nürnberg3
FC Ingolstadt 041