Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
1
Value bet: Lokomotiv Plovdiv to win @ 2.90 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLokomotiv Plovdiv to win ✓40% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.79
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali preview and prediction
The match
Arda Kardzhali travel to face Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Friendlies Clubs on Friday 2 October (09:00 WAT).
Form guide
Lokomotiv Plovdiv's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with CSKA Sofia 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Arda Kardzhali's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Cherno More Varna 1–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Arda Kardzhali arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 August 2026, finished Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0–1 Arda Kardzhali. Across their last 5 meetings Lokomotiv Plovdiv have won 3, Arda Kardzhali 1, with 1 draw and 2.2 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.0 for Arda Kardzhali. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Value angle: Lokomotiv Plovdiv to win at 2.90 – 40% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–1 Arda Kardzhali. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lokomotiv Plovdiv40%fair 2.51 · @2.90
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.50
Arda Kardzhali38%fair 2.64 · @2.05
2.14Expected goals
1.09Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
1.05Arda Kardzhali xG
43%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.1 – 1.0 Arda Kardzhali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
On our numbers Lokomotiv Plovdiv have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Arda Kardzhali 38%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–1 Arda Kardzhali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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