Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
2
Value bet: Hellas Verona to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHellas Verona to win ✓41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.60
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.05
FC Lugano vs Hellas Verona preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies Clubs sees FC Lugano take on Hellas Verona on Friday 2 October, kicking off at 10:30 (WAT) at AIL Arena.
Form guide
FC Lugano's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Lausanne 4–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Hellas Verona's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Vicenza Virtus 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
FC Lugano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.7 for FC Lugano and 1.8 for Hellas Verona. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Lugano 37%, draw 23%, Hellas Verona 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Hellas Verona to win at 2.62 – 41% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: FC Lugano 1–1 Hellas Verona. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Lugano37%fair 2.72 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.40
Hellas Verona41%fair 2.46 · @2.62
3.50Expected goals
1.70FC Lugano xG
1.80Hellas Verona xG
62%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: FC Lugano 1.7 – 1.8 Hellas Verona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hellas Verona to win✓
41%
2.46
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hellas Verona / FT Hellas Verona✓
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.05
–
Form
FC Lugano – last 6
WWDWWW
20 Sep
@ Lausanne
4–0
W
16 Sep
vs FC ST. Gallen
4–1
W
12 Sep
vs BSC Young Boys
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ FC Basel 1893
3–1
W
3 Sep
vs Servette FC
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ FC Sion
2–1
W
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Hellas Verona – last 6
WLWWDL
20 Sep
vs Vicenza Virtus
2–1
W
11 Sep
@ Benevento
1–3
L
6 Sep
vs Arezzo
5–0
W
3 Sep
@ Cagliari
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Padova
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Ascoli
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Lugano and Hellas Verona.
What is the prediction for FC Lugano vs Hellas Verona?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win FC Lugano vs Hellas Verona?
On our numbers FC Lugano have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hellas Verona 41%.
How many goals will there be in FC Lugano vs Hellas Verona?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Lugano vs Hellas Verona?
Our predicted score is FC Lugano 1–1 Hellas Verona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is FC Lugano vs Hellas Verona?
FC Lugano vs Hellas Verona (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at AIL Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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