1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Ingolstadt 04 prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
1. FC Nürnberg to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
Result1. FC Nürnberg to win ✓67% · @1.60
Double chance1. FC Nürnberg or draw ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.68
1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Ingolstadt 04 preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies Clubs sees 1. FC Nürnberg take on FC Ingolstadt 04 on Friday 2 October, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Max-Morlock-Stadion.
Form guide
1. FC Nürnberg's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Karlsruher SC 1–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
FC Ingolstadt 04's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to FC Viktoria Köln 0–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
1. FC Nürnberg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.5 for 1. FC Nürnberg and 1.1 for FC Ingolstadt 04. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: 1. FC Nürnberg 67%, draw 20%, FC Ingolstadt 04 13%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was 1. FC Nürnberg to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: 1. FC Nürnberg 2–1 FC Ingolstadt 04. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
1. FC Nürnberg67%fair 1.49 · @1.60
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.80
FC Ingolstadt 0413%fair 7.70 · @4.20
3.61Expected goals
2.521. FC Nürnberg xG
1.09FC Ingolstadt 04 xG
52%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
1–17%
3–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: 1. FC Nürnberg 2.5 – 1.1 FC Ingolstadt 04 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
1. FC Nürnberg to win✓
67%
1.49
1.60 ▲
Double chance
1. FC Nürnberg or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
1. FC Nürnberg ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT 1. FC Nürnberg / FT 1. FC Nürnberg✓
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.68
–
Form
1. FC Nürnberg – last 6
WWDWDW
19 Sep
@ Karlsruher SC
1–0
W
11 Sep
vs Hannover 96
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Holstein Kiel
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Arminia Bielefeld
4–1
W
22 Aug
@ FC Viktoria Köln
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4–2
W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FC Ingolstadt 04 – last 6
LLWLWD
19 Sep
@ FC Viktoria Köln
0–3
L
16 Sep
vs Hoffenheim II
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ FC Saarbrücken
1–0
W
4 Sep
vs Alemannia Aachen
0–3
L
29 Aug
@ SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Preußen Münster
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between 1. FC Nürnberg and FC Ingolstadt 04.
What is the prediction for 1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
Our pick is 1. FC Nürnberg to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win 1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
On our numbers 1. FC Nürnberg have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Ingolstadt 04 13%.
How many goals will there be in 1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for 1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
Our predicted score is 1. FC Nürnberg 2–1 FC Ingolstadt 04, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is 1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Ingolstadt 04 (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Max-Morlock-Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.