Value bet: Rapid to win @ 3.00 – our chance 40% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRapid to win ✓40% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.74
Rapid vs Genoa preview and prediction
The match
Genoa travel to face Rapid in the Friendlies Clubs on Friday 2 October (17:00 WAT).
Form guide
Rapid's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Arges Pitesti 3–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Genoa's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Parma 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Rapid arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Rapid and 1.5 for Genoa. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 54% and both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rapid 40%, draw 23%, Genoa 38%.
Value angle: Rapid to win at 3.00 – 40% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Rapid 2–1 Genoa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rapid40%fair 2.53 · @3.00
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.30
Genoa38%fair 2.66 · @2.10
2.95Expected goals
1.50Rapid xG
1.46Genoa xG
54%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Rapid 1.5 – 1.5 Genoa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rapid to win✓
40%
2.53
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rapid / FT Rapid✗
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.74
–
Form
Rapid – last 6
WWWWDW
18 Sep
vs Arges Pitesti
3–1
W
12 Sep
vs FC Voluntari
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Oţelul
1–0
W
3 Sep
@ FC Politehnica Timisoara
2–0
W
31 Aug
vs Universitatea Craiova
1–1
D
21 Aug
@ Petrolul Ploiesti
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Genoa – last 6
LWDLLL
20 Sep
@ Parma
1–2
L
15 Sep
vs Sudtirol
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Frosinone
1–1
D
4 Sep
vs Como
1–4
L
30 Aug
@ Lazio
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Napoli
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rapid and Genoa.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Rapid vs Genoa?
On our numbers Rapid have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Genoa 38%.
How many goals will there be in Rapid vs Genoa?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rapid vs Genoa?
Our predicted score is Rapid 2–1 Genoa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Rapid vs Genoa?
Rapid vs Genoa (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Arda Kardzhali0
Gornik Zabrze0
Odra Opole2
Sudtirol2
Wacker Innsbruck3
Pardubice4
Viktoria Žižkov1
Zlin1
Prostějov2
FC Lugano1
Hellas Verona3
Raków Częstochowa4
Polonia Bytom1
1. FC Nürnberg3
FC Ingolstadt 041