Value bet: FC Augsburg to win @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Augsburg to win ✗59% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓75% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–2 ✗5% · fair 18.79
FC Augsburg vs Hertha BSC preview and prediction
The match
FC Augsburg host Hertha BSC in the Friendlies Clubs on Friday 2 October, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT).
Form guide
FC Augsburg's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Werder Bremen 2–3 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Hertha BSC's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Hertha Zehlendorf 3–1 away. On the road they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Hertha BSC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 6.2 goals: 3.8 for FC Augsburg and 2.5 for Hertha BSC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 95% likely and both teams score in 75% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Augsburg 59%, draw 20%, Hertha BSC 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (75%) at 1.36.
Value angle: FC Augsburg to win at 1.83 – 59% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 75% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: FC Augsburg 3–2 Hertha BSC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Augsburg59%fair 1.68 · @1.83
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @4.00
Hertha BSC21%fair 4.79 · @3.10
6.23Expected goals
3.75FC Augsburg xG
2.48Hertha BSC xG
75%Both score
95%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–25%
4–25%
3–34%
3–14%
2–24%
4–34%
From our goals model: FC Augsburg 3.8 – 2.5 Hertha BSC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Augsburg to win✗
59%
1.68
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
75%
1.34
1.36
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
99%
1.01
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
FC Augsburg ahead at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Augsburg / FT FC Augsburg✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–2✗
5%
18.79
–
Form
FC Augsburg – last 6
LDWWWL
19 Sep
@ Werder Bremen
2–3
L
12 Sep
vs Bayer Leverkusen
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Eintracht Frankfurt
4–1
W
30 Aug
vs FC Schalke 04
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Energie Cottbus
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Leeds
0–4
L
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Hertha BSC – last 6
WWWWWD
29 Sep
@ Hertha Zehlendorf
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Dynamo Dresden
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ VfL Osnabrück
3–1
W
6 Sep
vs 1. FC Magdeburg
2–1
W
28 Aug
@ Eintracht Braunschweig
5–3
W
22 Aug
@ FC Saarbrücken
1–1
D
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Augsburg and Hertha BSC.
What is the prediction for FC Augsburg vs Hertha BSC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win FC Augsburg vs Hertha BSC?
On our numbers FC Augsburg have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Hertha BSC 21%.
How many goals will there be in FC Augsburg vs Hertha BSC?
We expect about 6.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 95% likely and both teams score 75% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Augsburg vs Hertha BSC?
Our predicted score is FC Augsburg 3–2 Hertha BSC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 6.2 goals in total.
When is FC Augsburg vs Hertha BSC?
FC Augsburg vs Hertha BSC (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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