Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFamalicao to win ✗66% · @1.44
Double chanceFamalicao or draw ✗89% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.80
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗7% · fair 14.33
Paredes vs Famalicao preview and prediction
The match
Famalicao travel to Municipal das Laranjeiras in the Taça De Portugal on Sunday 18 October (19:30 WAT) to face Paredes.
Form guide
Paredes's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Vianense 3–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Famalicao's last 5: LWDDD Most recently they lost to Alverca 1–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Paredes arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.0 goals: 1.6 for Paredes and 3.4 for Famalicao. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 88% and both teams to score at 66%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Paredes 1–3 Famalicao. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paredes11%fair 9.46 · @6.00
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.75
Famalicao66%fair 1.53 · @1.44
5.00Expected goals
1.65Paredes xG
3.35Famalicao xG
66%Both score
88%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–37%
1–26%
1–46%
2–36%
2–25%
2–45%
From our goals model: Paredes 1.6 – 3.4 Famalicao expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Famalicao to win✗
66%
1.53
1.44
Double chance
Famalicao or draw✗
89%
1.12
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.53
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
96%
1.04
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Famalicao ahead at half-time✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Famalicao / FT Famalicao✗
49%
2.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
7%
14.33
–
Form
Paredes – last 6
DWWWWL
10 Oct
@ Vianense
3–3
D
20 Sep
vs Maria da Fonte
5–1
W
13 Sep
vs Fafe
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Varzim
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Ermesinde
3–1
W
23 Aug
vs Leça
1–2
L
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Famalicao – last 6
LWDDDL
12 Oct
vs Alverca
1–4
L
19 Sep
@ Nacional
4–0
W
13 Sep
vs Sporting CP
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Estrela
2–2
D
30 Aug
vs GIL Vicente
0–0
D
23 Aug
@ Santa Clara
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paredes and Famalicao.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Paredes vs Famalicao?
On our numbers Paredes have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Famalicao 66%.
How many goals will there be in Paredes vs Famalicao?
We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paredes vs Famalicao?
Our predicted score is Paredes 1–3 Famalicao, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.
When is Paredes vs Famalicao?
Paredes vs Famalicao (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Municipal das Laranjeiras.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Brito0
Vitória de Sernache1
Fátima1
Academico Viseu0
Lusitânia Lourosa2
Os Limianos1
Mafra2
Santa Clara2
Salgueiros1
Estoril1
Tondela0
Alverca0
CF Os Belenenses3
Arouca3