Wednesday, 11 November 2026 1 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Today's tips
Taça De Portugal · Portugal · Estadio Municipal de Mafra

Mafra

DDLWD
2–2
FTAET 3–2

Santa Clara

WDWWD

Mafra vs Santa Clara prediction & analysis

69%
Footrivo pick

Santa Clara to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 61% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultSanta Clara to win ✗69% · @1.40
Double chanceSanta Clara or draw ✓90% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @2.00
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8% · fair 12.84

Mafra vs Santa Clara preview and prediction

The match

Santa Clara travel to Estadio Municipal de Mafra in the Taça De Portugal on Sunday 18 October (15:00 WAT) to face Mafra.

Form guide

Mafra's last 5: DDLWD Most recently they drew with CF Os Belenenses 2–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Santa Clara's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Casa Pia 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Santa Clara arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 4.5 goals: 1.4 for Mafra and 3.1 for Santa Clara. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 83% and both teams to score at 61%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Santa Clara to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Mafra 1–3 Santa Clara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Mafra10%fair 9.87 · @6.50
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.80
Santa Clara69%fair 1.44 · @1.40
4.50Expected goals
1.36Mafra xG
3.14Santa Clara xG
61%Both score
83%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–38%
1–27%
1–46%
0–36%
0–25%
2–35%

From our goals model: Mafra 1.4 – 3.1 Santa Clara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSanta Clara to win ✗69%1.441.40
Double chanceSanta Clara or draw ✓90%1.111.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.642.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Half-time resultSanta Clara ahead at half-time ✗56%1.79–
Half-time / full-timeHT Santa Clara / FT Santa Clara ✗50%1.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8%12.84–

Form

Mafra – last 6

DDLWDL
11 Octvs CF Os Belenenses2–2D
19 Sepvs Tirsense1–1D
12 Sep@ Oliveirense1–2L
5 Sepvs SC Covilha1–0W
29 Aug@ Atlético Malveira2–2D
22 Aug@ Lusitano Évora 19111–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Santa Clara – last 6

WDWWDW
10 Oct@ Casa Pia1–0W
20 Sepvs SC Braga0–0D
13 Sep@ Arouca2–1W
6 Sepvs Rio Ave4–0W
29 Aug@ Alverca1–1D
23 Augvs Famalicao1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mafra and Santa Clara.

Mafra vs Santa Clara head-to-head page →

More Taça De Portugal predictions

League hub
FT Brito0 Vitória de Sernache1 132%3.00X22%3.00246%2.10 GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.62 ✗
FT Fátima1 Academico Viseu0 114%9.00X17%4.80269%1.25 GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.91 ✗
FT Lusitânia Lourosa2 Os Limianos1 176%1.12X17%6.5027%17.00 GGBoth teams to score 57%@2.45 ✓
FT Salgueiros1 Estoril1 Pens 1–4 110%7.50X21%3.90269%1.36 2Estoril to win 69%@1.36 ✗
FT Tondela0 Alverca0 AET 2–0 128%3.00X22%3.10250%2.10 GGBoth teams to score 71%@1.75 ✗
FT Paredes1 Famalicao0 111%6.00X24%3.75266%1.44 GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.80 ✗
FT CF Os Belenenses3 Arouca3 AET 3–4 119%4.60X19%3.90263%1.55 2Arouca to win 63%@1.55 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mafra vs Santa Clara?

Our pick is Santa Clara to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Mafra vs Santa Clara?

On our numbers Mafra have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Santa Clara 69%.

How many goals will there be in Mafra vs Santa Clara?

We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mafra vs Santa Clara?

Our predicted score is Mafra 1–3 Santa Clara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.

When is Mafra vs Santa Clara?

Mafra vs Santa Clara (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Mafra.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.