Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultArouca to win ✗63% · @1.55
Double chanceArouca or draw ✓81% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.03
CF Os Belenenses vs Arouca preview and prediction
The match
Arouca travel to face CF Os Belenenses in the Taça De Portugal on Sunday 18 October (19:45 WAT).
Form guide
CF Os Belenenses's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Mafra 2–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Arouca's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Estrela 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
CF Os Belenenses arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.8 for CF Os Belenenses and 1.7 for Arouca. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: CF Os Belenenses 19%, draw 19%, Arouca 63%.
Safer route: Arouca or draw (81%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Arouca to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: CF Os Belenenses 0–1 Arouca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CF Os Belenenses19%fair 5.39 · @4.60
Draw19%fair 5.37 · @3.90
Arouca63%fair 1.59 · @1.55
2.50Expected goals
0.77CF Os Belenenses xG
1.73Arouca xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: CF Os Belenenses 0.8 – 1.7 Arouca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arouca to win✗
63%
1.59
1.55
Double chance
Arouca or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Arouca ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arouca / FT Arouca✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.03
–
Form
CF Os Belenenses – last 6
DWWWWW
11 Oct
@ Mafra
2–2
D
19 Sep
@ Beira-Mar
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs Atlético CP
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Vitória de Sernache
3–1
W
30 Aug
@ Lusitano Évora 1911
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs União Santarém
5–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Arouca – last 6
WDLDWL
11 Oct
vs Estrela
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Sporting CP
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Santa Clara
1–2
L
7 Sep
@ Estoril
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Maritimo
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ FC Porto
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CF Os Belenenses and Arouca.
What is the prediction for CF Os Belenenses vs Arouca?
Our pick is Arouca to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win CF Os Belenenses vs Arouca?
On our numbers CF Os Belenenses have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Arouca 63%.
How many goals will there be in CF Os Belenenses vs Arouca?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CF Os Belenenses vs Arouca?
Our predicted score is CF Os Belenenses 0–1 Arouca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is CF Os Belenenses vs Arouca?
CF Os Belenenses vs Arouca (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Brito0
Vitória de Sernache1
Fátima1
Academico Viseu0
Lusitânia Lourosa2
Os Limianos1
Mafra2
Santa Clara2
Salgueiros1
Estoril1
Tondela0
Alverca0
Paredes1
Famalicao0