FA Cup · England
Dorking Wanderers vs Chatham Town prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Dorking Wanderers 2.7 – 1.2 Chatham Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Dorking Wanderers are clear favourites at home with a 67% chance of winning, against 12% for Chatham Town.
Dorking Wanderers have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (2W 4D 0L), scoring 2.5 and conceding 2.2 per game. Chatham Town have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 3.9 goals (2.7 for Dorking Wanderers, 1.2 for Chatham Town). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 3–1 (8%), 2–0 (7%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 70% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.43.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Dorking Wanderers to win ✓ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.30 |
| Double chance | Dorking Wanderers or draw ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 55% | 1.83 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 90% | 1.11 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.82 | – |
| Half-time result | Dorking Wanderers ahead at half-time ✗ | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Dorking Wanderers / FT Dorking Wanderers ✗ | 47% | 2.11 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.34 | – |
Form
Dorking Wanderers – last 6
| 26 Sep | vs Braintree | 4–3 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Southall | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Torquay | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Sep | vs Chelmsford City | 3–3 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Billericay Town | 3–3 | D |
| 31 Aug | vs Truro City | 1–0 | W |
Chatham Town – last 6
| 26 Sep | @ Berkhamsted | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Slough Town | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Sep | @ Eastbourne Borough | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Lewes | 3–2 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Egham Town | 4–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | @ Dartford | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dorking Wanderers and Chatham Town.
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What is the prediction for Dorking Wanderers vs Chatham Town?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Dorking Wanderers vs Chatham Town?
On our numbers Dorking Wanderers have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chatham Town 12%.
How many goals will there be in Dorking Wanderers vs Chatham Town?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Dorking Wanderers vs Chatham Town?
Dorking Wanderers vs Chatham Town (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.