FA Cup · England
Bedford Town vs Wingate & Finchley prediction & analysis
Bedford Town to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Bedford Town 1.9 – 0.8 Wingate & Finchley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Bedford Town are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 17% for Wingate & Finchley.
Bedford Town have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. Wingate & Finchley have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.9 for Bedford Town, 0.8 for Wingate & Finchley). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 47%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Bedford Town to win at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.60.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Bedford Town to win ✗ | 63% | 1.60 | 1.57 |
| Double chance | Bedford Town or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.34 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 72% | 1.38 | – |
| Half-time result | Bedford Town ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Bedford Town / FT Bedford Town ✗ | 39% | 2.56 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.74 | – |
Form
Bedford Town – last 6
| 26 Sep | vs Hereford | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs King's Lynn Town | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Spalding United | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Sep | @ Worksop Town | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Radcliffe | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | @ AFC Telford United | 1–0 | W |
Wingate & Finchley – last 6
| 26 Sep | @ Real Bedford | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | vs Hemel Hempstead Town | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Hemel Hempstead Town | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Sep | @ Aveley | 4–3 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Welling United | 1–4 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Felixstowe & Walton Utd | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bedford Town and Wingate & Finchley.
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Real Bedford3Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bedford Town vs Wingate & Finchley?
Our pick is Bedford Town to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Bedford Town vs Wingate & Finchley?
On our numbers Bedford Town have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Wingate & Finchley 17%.
How many goals will there be in Bedford Town vs Wingate & Finchley?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
When is Bedford Town vs Wingate & Finchley?
Bedford Town vs Wingate & Finchley (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.