FA Cup · England
AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Braintree prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1.3 – 2.3 Braintree expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Braintree travel as clear favourites – 62% to win, against 21% for AFC Rushden & Diamonds.
AFC Rushden & Diamonds have taken 8 points from their last 5 matches (2W 2D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. Braintree have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 2.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
We expect around 3.6 goals (1.3 for AFC Rushden & Diamonds, 2.3 for Braintree). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–2 (9%), 1–1 (8%), 0–2 (7%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.53 is close to our fair price of 1.54.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Braintree to win ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.50 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.92 | – |
| Half-time result | Braintree ahead at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Braintree / FT Braintree ✗ | 39% | 2.53 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 10.57 | – |
Form
AFC Rushden & Diamonds – last 5
| 19 Sep | vs Peterborough Sports | 3–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Desborough Town | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Chasetown | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Jul | vs Milton Keynes Irish | 2–2 | D |
| 3 Apr | vs Mickleover Sports | 0–0 | D |
Braintree – last 6
| 26 Sep | @ Dorking Wanderers | 3–4 | L |
| 22 Sep | vs Needham Market | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Needham Market | 3–3 | D |
| 15 Sep | @ Billericay Town | 2–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Maidstone Utd | 2–1 | W |
| 8 Sep | vs Fulham U21 | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Rushden & Diamonds and Braintree.
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What is the prediction for AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Braintree?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Braintree?
On our numbers AFC Rushden & Diamonds have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Braintree 62%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Braintree?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Braintree?
AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Braintree (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.