Cerro host Wanderers in the Primera División Apertura on Sunday 4 October, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Monumental Luis Tróccoli. Cerro are 9th with 18 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Wanderers sit 10th on 16 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cerro's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Juventud 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Wanderers's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Albion FC 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 September 2026, finished Wanderers 1–1 Cerro.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Cerro and 1.2 for Wanderers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cerro 36%, draw 24%, Wanderers 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.91. Predicted score: Cerro 1–1 Wanderers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cerro36%fair 2.76 · @2.80
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.10
Wanderers39%fair 2.53 · @2.40
2.39Expected goals
1.16Cerro xG
1.23Wanderers xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Cerro 1.2 – 1.2 Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Cerro vs Wanderers?
On our numbers Cerro have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Wanderers 39%.
How many goals will there be in Cerro vs Wanderers?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerro vs Wanderers?
Our predicted score is Cerro 1–1 Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cerro vs Wanderers?
Cerro vs Wanderers (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Monumental Luis Tróccoli.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
