Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Liverpool Montevideo or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Liverpool Montevideo to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLiverpool Montevideo to win ✓57% · @1.91
Double chanceLiverpool Montevideo or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.47
Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo preview and prediction
The match
Central Espanol host Liverpool Montevideo in the Primera División Apertura on Sunday 27 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Parque Palermo. Central Espanol are 16th with 8 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Liverpool Montevideo sit 1st on 30 points (top of the table). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Central Espanol's last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Atletico Torque 1–4 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Liverpool Montevideo's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Colón 3–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 August 2026, finished Central Espanol 0–0 Liverpool Montevideo. Across their last 2 meetings Central Espanol have won 0, Liverpool Montevideo 0, with 2 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.8 for Central Espanol and 1.5 for Liverpool Montevideo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Central Espanol 21%, draw 21%, Liverpool Montevideo 57%.
Safer route: Liverpool Montevideo or draw (79%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Liverpool Montevideo to win at 1.91 – 57% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Liverpool Montevideo or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Central Espanol 0–1 Liverpool Montevideo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Central Espanol21%fair 4.69 · @3.90
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.20
Liverpool Montevideo57%fair 1.75 · @1.91
2.28Expected goals
0.77Central Espanol xG
1.51Liverpool Montevideo xG
50%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–112%
0–212%
0–010%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Central Espanol 0.8 – 1.5 Liverpool Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liverpool Montevideo to win✓
57%
1.75
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Liverpool Montevideo or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liverpool Montevideo / FT Liverpool Montevideo✓
What is the prediction for Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Our pick is Liverpool Montevideo or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo?
On our numbers Central Espanol have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Liverpool Montevideo 57%.
How many goals will there be in Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Our predicted score is Central Espanol 0–1 Liverpool Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Palermo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
