FA Cup · England
Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Tonbridge Angels 1.8 – 2.2 Torquay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Torquay shade it despite being away from home – 48% to win, against 32% for Tonbridge Angels.
Tonbridge Angels have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.0 per game. Torquay have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 2.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 4.0 goals (1.8 for Tonbridge Angels, 2.2 for Torquay). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–2 (8%), 1–1 (7%), 2–2 (7%).
In their last 1 meeting, Tonbridge Angels have won 0, Torquay have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is better than our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Torquay to win ✓ | 48% | 2.08 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.72 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 91% | 1.10 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.62 ▲ |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.76 | – |
| Half-time result | Torquay ahead at half-time ✗ | 39% | 2.59 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Torquay / FT Torquay ✗ | 30% | 3.32 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 8% | 12.52 | – |
Form
Tonbridge Angels – last 6
| 26 Sep | vs Ebbsfleet United | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Ramsgate | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Hemel Hempstead Town | 1–1 | D |
| 8 Sep | vs Maidstone Utd | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Farnborough | 4–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | vs Walton & Hersham | 5–1 | W |
Torquay – last 6
| 26 Sep | @ Billericay Town | 0–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs AFC Stoneham | 6–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Dorking Wanderers | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Sep | @ Maidenhead | 4–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Folkestone Invicta | 3–2 | W |
| 31 Aug | @ Farnham Town | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
| 15 Aug 2026 | Tonbridge Angels v Torquay | 1–2 |
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Real Bedford3Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay?
On our numbers Tonbridge Angels have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Torquay 48%.
How many goals will there be in Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay?
Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.