Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Cuba to win @ 1.70 – our chance 66% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCuba to win ✗66% · @1.70
Double chanceCuba or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.11
Cuba vs St. Kitts and Nevis preview and prediction
The match
Cuba host St. Kitts and Nevis in the CONCACAF Nations League on Monday 5 October, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT) at Hasely Crawford Stadium.
Form guide
Cuba's last 4: DWWD Most recently they drew with St. Kitts and Nevis 3–3 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
St. Kitts and Nevis's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Cuba 3–3 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.4 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 October 2026, finished St. Kitts and Nevis 3–3 Cuba.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.6 for Cuba and 1.2 for St. Kitts and Nevis. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 74% and both teams to score at 66%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cuba 66%, draw 21%, St. Kitts and Nevis 13%.
Safer route: Cuba or draw (87%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Cuba to win at 1.70 – 66% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cuba or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cuba 2–1 St. Kitts and Nevis. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cuba66%fair 1.51 · @1.70
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.80
St. Kitts and Nevis13%fair 7.91 · @4.20
3.83Expected goals
2.65Cuba xG
1.18St. Kitts and Nevis xG
66%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–08%
1–17%
3–07%
1–06%
From our goals model: Cuba 2.6 – 1.2 St. Kitts and Nevis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cuba vs St. Kitts and Nevis?
Our pick is Cuba or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cuba vs St. Kitts and Nevis?
On our numbers Cuba have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and St. Kitts and Nevis 13%.
How many goals will there be in Cuba vs St. Kitts and Nevis?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cuba vs St. Kitts and Nevis?
Our predicted score is Cuba 2–1 St. Kitts and Nevis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Cuba vs St. Kitts and Nevis?
Cuba vs St. Kitts and Nevis (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Hasely Crawford Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Aruba3
Anguilla2
Costa Rica2
Haiti0
Nicaragua1
Dominican Republic2
Guadeloupe0
St. Lucia1
Martinique1
El Salvador1