Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Haiti to win @ 2.45 – our chance 46% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHaiti to win ✗46% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.66
Costa Rica vs Haiti preview and prediction
The match
Costa Rica host Haiti in the CONCACAF Nations League on Monday 5 October, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Ricardo Saprissa Aymá.
Form guide
Costa Rica's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Nicaragua 3–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Haiti's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Dominican Republic 4–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Haiti arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 September 2026, finished Haiti 2–0 Costa Rica.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.8 for Costa Rica and 2.2 for Haiti. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Costa Rica 33%, draw 20%, Haiti 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Haiti to win at 2.45 – 46% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Costa Rica 1–2 Haiti. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Costa Rica33%fair 3.02 · @2.50
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.50
Haiti46%fair 2.15 · @2.45
4.00Expected goals
1.83Costa Rica xG
2.17Haiti xG
67%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–17%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: Costa Rica 1.8 – 2.2 Haiti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Costa Rica vs Haiti?
On our numbers Costa Rica have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Haiti 46%.
How many goals will there be in Costa Rica vs Haiti?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Costa Rica vs Haiti?
Our predicted score is Costa Rica 1–2 Haiti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Costa Rica vs Haiti?
Costa Rica vs Haiti (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ricardo Saprissa Aymá.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Aruba3
Anguilla2
Nicaragua1
Dominican Republic2
Guadeloupe0
St. Lucia1
Cuba2
St. Kitts and Nevis2
Martinique1
El Salvador1